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Society & IdeasThe Honest BrokerTed Gioia2026-10-17

Kill the four-chord songLet’s Kill the Four-Chord Song

The music industry's addiction to the four-chord formula is driving listeners away from new music, pushing old hits to the top of the charts and even turning the youngest listeners toward their parents' favourites.

Paul McCartney, at 84, can still mock today's pop. During an interview he improvised a four-chord song in the current style — while his own album sat at the top of Billboard's rock chart.

Old songs on the rise

It isn't just McCartney. Audiences everywhere are turning away from new music: among 13-to-24-year-olds, new music's share has dropped by more than ten percentage points in four years, and old songs are close to matching it.

Billboard's top 100 album list is packed with decades-old records like Thriller, Rumours and Nevermind. Week after week, the old stars stay on top while today's acts come and go.

Formula kills creativity

Radio sticks to what worked twenty years ago, streaming playlists are run by algorithms trained on the past, and labels stay risk-averse. Country, pop, hip-hop and jazz are all frozen in time.

The data lines up: the audience's turn to old music matches the rise of the four-chord song. The most popular decades, it turns out, are the ones with the most chords.

Kill the chords, find the genius

Not every four-chord song is boring — Taylor Swift has shown how much can be done within the pattern. But the formula is exhausted after years of heavy use.

Audiences have walked away from the madrigal and the Viennese waltz before. The labels' real job is to find the breakout songwriter whose genius will force the industry to change.

Why it matters

Pop music's stagnation is not just nostalgia — it is an industry using algorithms and formulas to quietly erase its own future. Young listeners are already voting with their feet, and the four-chord formula is running out of time.

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